Nitish vs. Tejashwi: Who Will Bihar Choose This Time?:-
This time, will Tejaswi Yadav’s government in Bihar or will NDA’s Nitish Kumar be out again? This time, the increased number of votes in Bihar is for change or for the stability of Nitish Babu? This vote share of more than 70% , is it in favor of 74 year old Nitish Kumar ? Or it has been given to bring Tejaswi Babu into the government. Those who are claiming in the exit polls that Nitish Kumar, the father of polls, will be right this time or will the exit polls which had drowned in a small amount of water in many previous elections.
The Meaning Behind 70%+ Voting: Anger or Approval?:-
Especially in 2015 and 2020, they will once again rub their noses in a handful of water and understand that Babu Bihar is not easy, welcome to Bihar. Here the exit polls go wrong or this time the exit polls are giving a clear majority. The history of Bihar says that wherever Nitish Kumar lives, the government is formed there. But the question is that this time when there has been a bumper historical voting which has never happened in the history of Bihar, will this turn the roti from the pan or will this roti be served hot in Nitish Kumar’s plate. The question is, will the kindness of women towards Nitish Kumar prove to be too much for Tejaswi Babu, who claims to provide employment to every household ? Has Nitish Kumar’s government ensured a bumper 70% voting in Bihar as the exit polls are saying? The ₹10,000 that Nitish Babu gave to women has become a burden on every household job.
When Bihar Votes Like Never Before:-
All these questions arise because there were long queues in Bihar throughout the day. What was seen at the polling booth from morning till evening was not just voting, brother. That was a historic moment. And all these things are happening today because both the phases of voting have ended in Bihar. Voting took place on 121 seats on November 6 and on 122 seats in the second phase on November 11. More than 70 percent votes are not just a number. In 1952, when democracy breathed its first breath in Bihar, the voting percentage was 42%.
The Legacy of Wrong Exit Polls in Bihar:-
The maximum turnout in 2000 was 62%. But this time it has crossed 70% in this second phase. And that is why every person is calculating whether it is a warning from the public or a seal of trust from the government. Wherever we went to Bihar, maximum people were saying that brother, Nitish ji ‘s government will be formed. NDA will form the government. Every person is saying that it is our government. Is it possible that the matter will turn around? And now that the elections are over. While waiting for November 14, the agencies conducted a poll. Now look, we do n’t expose the truth. So what did we do? We caught all the pole people and made them the father of the pole. Poll Papa says that the 17 agencies that conducted polls in Bihar have predicted that the NDA will get 130 to 209 seats. Grand alliance gets 70 to 100 seats.
What 17 Exit Polls Say This Time:-
However, you should remember that the exit polls of Bihar are always embarrassing. As we said, in 2015 these same exit polls had shown NDA ahead. But then the Grand Alliance had won 178 seats. In 2020, he had shown the dream of victory to the Grand Alliance. Then NDA formed the government by getting 125 seats. Now the question is what will be the exit poll this time ? Will Nitish Babu form the government or will he make Tejaswi Babu the Chief Minister for the first time? Today we are going to analyze the exit poll in Bihar.So the exit poll is saying that there is an NDA government in Bihar. However, our own experience regarding exit polls has always been that if even two-four polls are showing here and there in the exit polls, then there is something wrong. But if all the polls are going in one direction then most of the time the matter turns out to be correct.
Why Analysts Think NDA Is Ahead:-
Most of the time it is the right time. In 2015 and 2020, we said that the polls in Bihar were bad, in that all the exit polls were not together, but this time the exit polls conducted by 17 agencies all went in one direction and we are telling you the exit polls name wise. So Dainik Bhaskar is a big newspaper. In its exit poll, NDA has got 145 seats. 145 to 160 Grand Alliance 73 to 91 Now the magic figure is 125, which means it is very far from the government. They have nothing to do with it. All the rest were included in 510. That means Prashant Kishore’s magic is over. Then the survey of IAS says that there are 147 to 167 NDA. There are 70 to 90 grand alliances. That means here too there is no story of the Grand Alliance reaching the government. The rest is zero to seven. That means Prashant Kishore is zero divided by silence here too. Owaisi Neel divided by silence. Then he has also conducted People’s Pulse survey. He has given 133 to 159 seats to NDA. 75 to 101 have been given to the Grand Alliance, 2 to 13 in all the rest, we are taking Prashant Kishore Owaisi along, so we will not repeat it again and again in future. Then there is People Insight, they have also given 133 to 148 to NDA.
The ₹10,000 Women-Centric Scheme: Game-Changer?:-
The Grand Alliance got 87 to 102 and all others got three to eight. Chanakya’s pole has been discussed many times. He has given 130 to 138. 100 to 108 seats have been given to the Grand Alliance. So here also the clear majority is going to NDA. Poll states have given 133 to 148 seats to NDA. 97 to 102 have been given to the Grand Alliance. So the matter is clear here. Everything else is within 10. So we won’t even count. JBC poll has given 135 to 15 to NDA. Grand Alliance 88 to 1030 Poll Diary has crossed all limits. According to the poll diary, NDA will get 184 to 209 seats. Has crossed 200.The Grand Alliance will get only 3249 seats. Cast so many votes that the person gets confused whether it is for or against and such people also surprise us many times. It might even backfire. Maybe this turns out to be correct.
Because Chanakya also used to give it one side earlier and the matter turned out to be correct, once or twice his poll is going from 184 to 209 as per the diary, Times Now has given 143 and 95 to NDA, that is Pragya Poll, it is giving 186 to Tejaswi Babu, they are also giving 50 to Grand Alliance and those with P Mark are giving 142, those with 80 to 98 Grand Alliance, those with TIF are giving 145 to 163, those with 76 to 95, what is their name ? NDA 24 has given 152 to your grand alliance. Those from Kamakhya have given 167 to 187. DV Research N 18 Rudra Research all these have also given clear majority to NDA. That means most of them are showing above 130 and below 200, up to around 200.
Seat-by-Seat Curiosities: Big Names in Tough Contests:-
According to this, it is clear from now that Nitish Kumar will be in power in Bihar once again. Nitish Kumar will form the government. However, whom does the public elect in Bihar ? So he has not gone to heaven, he is still on the floor. It is being said that he is in a tough competition in two-three seats. There may be some sowing.RJD is suffering losses because of Congress. Mukesh Sahni is also suffering huge losses. There are many big seats where there is talk of upset. For example, the fight is very tough in the seat of Deputy CM Vijay Sinha. Maithili Thakur’s case is not easy. Tej Pratap Yadav’s case is not easy. Ram Kripal Yadav’s Danapur is not easy. There is a tough competition in Samrat Chaudhary’s seat also. So if there is any turmoil in these, then you can think about it. But this time’s election is special because Bihar has never voted so much before. Almost 70% of the votes were cast and this is where the matter got complicated that brother, is this so many votes to bid farewell to Nitish ji? Although Nitish Babu remained in power for 20 years.
The Grand Alliance: Where Is the Weak Link?:-
But there was not a major rebellion against him. Women always supported him. This time, at many booths, women were ahead of men and that is why most people believe that the support Nitish got from women has messed up Tejashwi ji’s case. He was talking about supporting the youth but the women overpowered the youth. Give me the job or leave the chair, but ₹100 proved to be too much. And people are also giving the logic behind this that approximately ₹1 crore women were given ₹1,100. Even if there are two-three voters in a family, then three to four crore women are carrying forward the family. So this matter got messed up. This is being said. The case of Jungle Raj of a Tejaswi Babu is also being said to be messed up. But this time NDA is having fun. Last time NDA had got 125 seats.
The Rise and Fall of Prashant Kishor?:-
This time it is being said that there will be a gain of 20 to 35 seats. It is being said that JDU had won 43 seats last time. This time there may be 59 to 68 seats. There could be a gain of 16 to 25 seats. BJP won 74 seats last time, this time it can go up to 82. LJP is being told that their case may be a little back and forth. Meaning this is their mess. We are doing well. Upendra Kushwaha’s account is said to be difficult. I do n’t know how much is true and how much is false. What will happen to Upendra Kushwaha? It is being said in the Grand Alliance that Tejashwi will do the right thing. Tejaswi will not be messed up but the rest are messed up. Tejaswi will have a little dent but he will still do it right. It is being said that there will be a big mess in Congress.
Party-Wise Expected Gains and Losses:-
Contesting elections on 59 seats. It will be reduced to 10 to 20 seats. It is being said about Mukesh Sahni that his recovery is difficult. Now how much truth and how much trap will be created because he was made Deputy CM. The projects were done in a very impressive manner. It gained a lot of popularity. Rahul Gandhi was fishing together.The factor is related to women only, it is being said that behind all this, Nitish Babu’s women factor has been strong and only that can make him win. This is a big thing that has come out. Papa is saying that there is no anti-incumbency poll against Nitish. Because of this also there is benefit. People believe that there is no anti-incumbency. It was all about power, that’s why people are saying that they give fairness. Many people are saying that Tejaswi suffered losses in the previous round. Efforts have been made but due to the issues raised repeatedly by NDA, losses are being incurred and this will remain the story of Nitish Babu’s return. Along with Nitish, Modi is also popular in Bihar. Prashant became unpopular. It has also come to light that Prashant Kishore tried very hard but could not project himself on the ground as the third option. There is discussion on social media, there is discussion among journalists. There is discussion among Biharis living outside. But it is being said that a lot of amazing things have happened in Bihar. There is a case on two-three seats out of 243. This is what is being said. In surveys and exit polls. We will see on the 14th how much is true and how much is a trap.
Verdict So Far: NDA Favored, But Bihar Can Always Surprise:-
For the grand alliance, right now Congress and VIP are being said to be the weak link, they are causing loss because RJD is still doing well, these two are stuck in the matter, how much is truth and how much is fiction, we will see on the 14th. Overall, we will wait for the 14th. However, the exit poll is giving majority to NDA, giving majority to Nitish, it is showing the intention of giving a good fair to Nitish. It seems that the people of Bihar have gone with Nitish Babu.
The Only Thing Certain: Bihar Has Voted Like Never Before:-
But still, is this trust confirmed or will the exit polls, which have been wrong before, be wrong again? This is something to be seen. Will the youth who took to the streets turn the tables or not? Prashant Kishore is here, we will have to see what happens to him. Will the Modi-Nitish duo be one-sidedly stronger than Tejashwi? Will have to see. At present, this time the voting in Bihar has been historic. Both sides had put in efforts, hence more votes were cast. We have to see what is the future of Bihar.