The Best & Worst NFL Teams for Home-Team ATS Success:-
What NFL team when they play a game, the home team is now 9-0 against the spread? A couple weeks ago, we talked about back-to-back home teams and how that’s not the positive a lot of people perceive. Wait till you see what happens late in the season in that situation. And as always, we’ll finish it off with four super systems, including a system that is 94.1% against the spread. Well, let’s get right to it. Let’s take a look at the NFL teams that are best and worst. So, the host is this. When these teams are playing in a game, the Cleveland Browns, when the Cleveland Browns play an NFL game, the home team is 9 and0, 100% against the spread. When Casey and Jacksonville play a game, the host is 78% against the spread. Houston 70%. The Chargers, the Colts, the Steelers, all 67%. And Cincinnati, Washington, Miami, Detroit, and Green Bay, when they play a game, the home team is 60%. So, let’s look at the opposite end of a spectrum. When the Arizona Cardinals play a game, the home team is 2-8, 20% against the spread. Minnesota’s only played eight games home or away because of their two games over the pond, they are 25%. When San Francisco and New England play a game, the home team 3-8 ATS, that is 27.3%. Tampa Bay and Seattle come in at 30%. And Chicago, Philly, and New Orleans, when they play a game, the home team is 4 and six or 40% against the spread.
Back-to-Back Home Games: A Misunderstood Spot:-
Some interesting data there. But at home, their defense can keep them in the game. On the road, they get exposed. Makes perfect sense. And make sure you check out the college football TNA. And most people think, , this team is home for a second straight game. But the eight test numbers just don’t jive.The game numbers are in the middle on the left hand side on the gray. Those are teams that played a home game and now they’re a home favorite or home dog, second straight home. on the right hand side. Those are teams as an away favorite and away dog off a road game. So, take a look at the lefth hand column for home favorites. The reason did that is so many people rest starters if they’re playoff teams in game 17. It’s not a legitimate week to use that data. So, we’re we’re ignoring game number 17. teams as a home favorite off a home game from game two through game 10 are only 43.6% against the spread.
Late-Season Home Favorites vs Elite Opponents (68.1% ATS):-
Remember, it’s a negative, although many people perceive it as a positive. But take a look late in the season, games number 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, and 16. Every game number is at least 50% or better. And collectively from game 11 to game 16, if you’re playing a second straight home game and now you’re a home favorite, you’ve gone 106 and 73 with five pushes, that is 59.2%. You see on the away side, teams that are playing a second straight road game and they’re an away favorite slightly above 50%. if late in the season they’re playing a second straight road game and now they’re an away dog 48% against the spread. So one major takeaway back-to back homes early in the season overrated back-to-back homes and having a home favorite after game 11 a very solid 106 and 73 59.2% 2% system.
From Home Dog to Road Favorite (29.3% ATS):-
We ask if you learned one thing, just hit the like button. Leave a comment, something you want added to Well, last couple weeks in the NFL and college football, 12-2 college football, best bets, those are 4% and 5% 10-1 and 24-7, 77%. A college football 5% that sells for $35 by itself. My football 5%s 5-0 and 17 and4 81% and my NFL teasers continue to cash as well 15 and five 75%. Head to my homepage wt.buzzrm. Take advantage of my birthday special and get seven consecutive days of my service for just $62. Well, let’s get to our four super systems. First off, we’re this late into the season, we’re all surprised at the Chief’s records, but from game number 11 and later, and excluding couple low totals of 36 and a half and below a while ago, home favorites against an opponent that has a win percentage of 75% or better.
Road Favorites vs High-Turnover Opponents (68%):-
It’s happened 116 times since 1989. Those teams like Kansas City again home favorite. The opposition has a win percentage of 75% or higher. We are game number 11 and later. And again, we’re eliminating a few totals under 37. those teams like Kansas City this week 81 38 and4 68.1% against the spread records really don’t matter much when Vegas makes a team a favorite they likely deserve to be the favorite and this shows just that the Jaguars handled business this last week against the Chargers so we’re going to look game number four and on. So there’s no fluky upsets early in the season. So these are legitimate teams. Teams off a win as a home dog. They have a winning record and now they’re an away favorite. Big difference being a home dog in the NFL to being away favorite from one game to the next. Well, those teams like Jacksonville, again, you’re off a win as a home dog. You currently have a winning record and now you’re an away favorite from game number four and later. This goes back to 1994. Those teams like Jacksonville 17 and 41 29.3%.
94% ATS Divisional Bounce-Spot (16–1 ATS):-
Jacksonville of course traveling out to Phoenix to play the Cardinals. System number three, the Bengals. a lot of turnovers this year. The Patriots, they’re a AFC away favorite. When you have a conference away favorite playing a team that is allowing at least a negative.5 turnover margin per game, which means if you’ve played eight games, you have to be at least minus four turnovers on the season. If you play 10 games, you have to be at least minus five turnovers. Just two two parameters in that. The Patriots are conference away favorite. The Bengals are that team that turn the ball over often. Those teams like New England, 34, 16, and two, 68%. And finally, let’s finish it off with a 94% super system. Not only is it a great record, small sample size though, only 17 plays since 2017, but very easy to figure out those plays that fit into the criteria. You are off a division win as an away dog and now you’re a division home favorite.